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1. Insights from earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

Deser, Clara; Lehner, Flavio; Rodgers, Keith B.; Ault, Toby R.; Delworth, Tom; ‪DiNezio, Pedro; Fiore, Arlene M.; Frankignoul, Claude; Fyfe, John C.; Horton, Daniel E.; Kay, ‪Jennifer E.; ‪Lovenduski‬, Nicole S.; Marotzke, Jochem; McKinnon‬, ‪Karen Aline; Minobe, Shoshiro; Randerson, James T.; Screen, James; Simpson, Isla R.; Ting, Mingfang
2020
Articles
Earth sciencesClimatic changesClimatic extremesEarth sciences--Mathematical models

2. Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st-century megadrought risk in the American Southwest

Ault, Toby R.; Mankin, Justin S.; Cook, Benjamin I.; Smerdon, Jason E.
2016
Articles
Climatic changes--Risk assessmentHydrologic modelsDroughtsClimatic changes

3. Model-dependent spatial skill in pseudoproxy experiments testing climate field reconstruction methods for the Common Era

Smerdon, Jason E.; Coats, Sloan John; Ault, Toby R.
2015
Articles
PaleoclimatologyMeteorologyClimatology--Simulation methodsClimatic changesAtmosphere

4. Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

Cook, Benjamin I.; Ault, Toby R.; Smerdon, Jason E.
2015
Articles
Soil moisture--MeasurementPaleoclimatologyClimatic changesDrought forecastingMeteorologyAtmosphere