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Will Climate Change Induce Malaria in Nairobi?

Ramsell, Annie

Nairobi is currently malaria-free but is approaching climatic conditions that could support malaria transmission due to warming temperatures and rainfall variability influenced by the Indian Ocean Dipole and El Niño events. Analysis of precipitation, temperature, and humidity data shows the city narrowly misses the thresholds required for seasonal malaria, highlighting the importance of climate monitoring and modeling to support proactive public health planning and future epidemic prevention.

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