2025 Data (Information) and Reports

U.S. Natural Hazards Climate Change Projections

Sury, Jonathan; Hansen, Sean E.; Krasniqi, Qendresa; Samur, Antonia; Schlegelmilch, Jeffrey

The NCDP U.S. Natural Hazards Climate Change Projections project provides an interactive map-based tool, with a downloadable dataset, to explore county-level future natural hazard projections for Wildfires, Tropical Cyclones (Hurricanes), Tornadoes, and Sea Level Rise under one or more climate change scenarios in the United States. This tool provides a new dimension of hazard data to supplement NCDPs Natural Hazards Index v2.0. This new tool is a collaborative effort between multiple academic and public institutions that bring together the most up-to-date science to anticipate future hazards to visualize mid- and end-century hazard indicator estimates under one or more climate change scenarios (i.e., Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2 (SSP2) and 5 (SSP5)) or RCP 8.5) allowing users to compare each time period and scenario to a historical baseline and to see the anticipated direction and magnitude of change for each hazard. The product documentation provides source data links, individual dataset corresponding authors, and details on the use, limitations, and interpretations. All datasets included in this map application have their limitations. As such, interpretation of the data should be only one piece of information to determine risk, which may vary depending on local and regional mitigation and adaptation actions.