Experimental forecasts of El Niño

Cane, Mark A.; Zebiak, Stephen E.; Dolan, Sean C.

Experimental forecasts of El Niño events occurring since 1970, made with a deterministic model of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system, indicate that El Niño is generally predictable one or two years ahead. A forecast for 1986 is also presented.


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Academic Units
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Ocean and Climate Physics
Nature Publishing Group
Published Here
March 29, 2012