Academic Commons

Articles

Practical implications of uncertainty in observed SSTs

Goddard, Lisa M.; Dewitt, David G.; Reynolds, Richard W.

Uncertainties in the accuracy of observed sea surface temperature (SST) estimates limit a number of efforts relevant to seasonal-to-interannual climate variability and its prediction. Some of the efforts that may be hampered by uncertain SSTs include estimates of skill in predicted SSTs, attribution studies of seasonal climate anomalies, and calibration of probabilistic seasonal climate forecast systems. This study examines the explicit impact of SST uncertainties on the climate response from an atmospheric general circulation model. Uncertainties in Western Pacific SSTs play a substantial role in the sensitivity of the seasonal climate.

Files

  • thumnail for Goddard_et_al-2009-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf Goddard_et_al-2009-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf application/download 21.4 MB Download File

Also Published In

Title
Geophysical Research Letters
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037703

More About This Work

Academic Units
International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Published Here
April 7, 2016