1. Insights from earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects Deser, Clara; Lehner, Flavio; Rodgers, Keith B.; Ault, Toby R.; Delworth, Tom; DiNezio, Pedro; Fiore, Arlene M.; Frankignoul, Claude; Fyfe, John C.; Horton, Daniel E.; Kay, Jennifer E.; Lovenduski, Nicole S.; Marotzke, Jochem; McKinnon, Karen Aline; Minobe, Shoshiro; Randerson, James T.; Screen, James; Simpson, Isla R.; Ting, Mingfang 2020 Articles Earth sciencesClimatic changesClimatic extremesEarth sciences--Mathematical models
2. Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st-century megadrought risk in the American Southwest Ault, Toby R.; Mankin, Justin S.; Cook, Benjamin I.; Smerdon, Jason E. 2016 Articles Climatic changes--Risk assessmentHydrologic modelsDroughtsClimatic changes
3. Model-dependent spatial skill in pseudoproxy experiments testing climate field reconstruction methods for the Common Era Smerdon, Jason E.; Coats, Sloan John; Ault, Toby R. 2015 Articles PaleoclimatologyMeteorologyClimatology--Simulation methodsClimatic changesAtmosphere
4. Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains Cook, Benjamin I.; Ault, Toby R.; Smerdon, Jason E. 2015 Articles Soil moisture--MeasurementPaleoclimatologyClimatic changesDrought forecastingMeteorologyAtmosphere