Interannual and Decadal Cycles in River Flows of Southeastern South America
Robertson
Andrew W.
author
Columbia University. International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Mechoso
Carlos R.
author
Columbia University. International Research Institute for Climate and Society
originator
text
Articles
1998
English
The time series of annual streamflow of four rivers in southeastern and south-central South America (the Negro, Paraguay, Paraná, and Uruguay Rivers) for the period 1911–93 are analyzed. Application of the multitaper method shows that the following features are significant at the 95% level: 1) a nonlinear trend, 2) a near-decadal component, and 3) interannual peaks with ENSO timescales. The trend and near-decadal components are most marked in the two more central rivers, the Paraguay and Paraná, with ENSO timescale variability most pronounced in the Negro and Uruguay rivers in the southeast. Composites of SST are made for each of the statistically significant oscillatory components of river flow, by reconstructing each component using singular spectrum analysis. These composites confirm the influence of ENSO on the streamflow variability of the Negro and Uruguay Rivers, with El Niño associated with enhanced streamflow. On the decadal timescale, high river runoff is associated with anomalously cool SSTs over the tropical North Atlantic. A very similar near-decadal oscillation in SST over this region is identified separately from a rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis of gridded annual mean SSTs. The near-decadal component of the Paraguay and Paraná Rivers is strongest in the austral summer.
Atmospheric sciences
Climate change
Journal of Climate
11
10
2570
2581
1998-10
http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<2570:IADCIR>2.0.CO;2
http://hdl.handle.net/10022/AC:P:14378
NNC
NNC
2012-08-14 14:31:13 -0400
2012-08-14 14:35:01 -0400
8398
eng