Leverage and Asset Bubbles: Averting Armageddon with Chapter 11? Miller Marcus author Stiglitz Joseph E. author Columbia University. Business Columbia University. International and Public Affairs Columbia University. Economics Columbia University. Initiative for Policy Dialogue originator text Articles 2008 English The current financial crisis poses severe challenges for central bank policymaking; but the widely-used DSGE paradigm -- designed to analyse the control of inflation -- seems ill-suited to understanding the origins of the crisis or designing measures to resolve it. The relevant macroeconomic framework must surely include high leverage and overvalued collateral assets, where capital restructuring is the key to crisis resolution. The usual "bankruptcy" procedures for doing this are not designed to handle macro shocks hitting the whole economy: they would fail to internalise the price effects of asset "fire-sales" required to satisfy margin calls. We use a simple model of credit-constrained borrowers to show how "super" Chapter 11 procedures can play a crucial role in preventing asset price correction triggering widespread economic collapse. (Timely cuts in interest rates -- which act as transfers from lenders to borrowers -- will also help.) To cope with the financial shock, balance sheets need "restructuring": what about the microfoundations of conventional macroeconomics? The opinions expressed in these papers represent those of the author(s) and not The Initiative for Policy Dialogue. These papers are unpublished and have not been peer reviewed. Please do not cite without explicit permission from the author(s). Economic Journal, vol. 120, no. 544 (May 2010), pp. 500-518. Business and economics 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02357.x http://hdl.handle.net/10022/AC:P:9093 NNC NNC 2010-02-04 19:34:44 UTC 2011-05-24 17:43:57 UTC 849 eng